There are only five matchweeks left in the Premier League campaign. The stakes are high. This weekend will feature all 20 teams after a brief slate on Matchday 33. Check out our Premier League Matchday 34 picks.
Matchday33 was a complete disaster for three top London clubs. After dissecting Brighton just a few weeks prior, Spurs suffered a bizarre loss at home to Brighton. Arsenal lost their third consecutive defeat, losing at Southampton despite having a plus-1.1 expected goal differential. To top it all, West Ham drew Burnley home.
The Gunners managed to draw even with Spurs, thanks to a huge midweek win over Chelsea. Manchester United gained some ground, barely passing basement-dwelling Norwich, before an embarrassing trip to Anfield saw a 4-0 loss to Liverpool. Only five points separate the fourth-place Spurs and seventh-place West Ham.
On the other side of the table, it seems that Watford and Norwich have accepted the reality that they will be relegated at the season’s end. The Burnley era after Sean Dyche has been relatively successful, with the Clarets’ draw at West Ham and their midweek win over Southampton. Burnley is one point behind Everton. They will be looking to climb out of the drop zone this weekend with a win at home against the Wolves.
There’s still a lot to be won as the season reaches its final stretch.
These are my top Premier League Matchday34 picks and predictions. Odds via [1xbet] and [1xbet] – pick confidence is based upon a 1-to-5 star scale.
Premier League Matchday 34 Picks
Premier League Matchday 34 Predictions
6-0-10 home record (1.13 points per match), 18 away goals (17.3 anticipated goals) to 21 away games against (19.6 expected goal against) 8-3-4 at home record (1.8 xG to 20 home goals against (25.1 xGA),
This season, the Foxes are seventh in points per home game. Although they are often viewed as a team that is willing to play a scoring slugfest in games, Leicester have been able to get the job done by playing a tighter style of football in recent weeks. Since a 2-2 draw with West Ham on February 13, they haven’t seen a league match exceed this total. They have taken nine points in three of their home matches during that stretch.
Aston Villa, on the other hand, are a fierce away team. Aston Villa’s minus-2.4 away xGD rank sixth in the league thanks to their fourth-best 19.6 xGA – a mark that surpasses Liverpool’s 19.8. Steven Gerrard’s team hasn’t been able to make the most of its away matches. It has taken six points from its last five games, despite an xGD plus-2.1 in those games. The Villans will not be able to match that level of finishing in King Power if they do.
6.55-5 away record (.44 points per match), 24 away goals (21.1 xG), to 27 away goals against (26.0 xGA), 10-2-4 home record (.00 points per game), 25 home games (22.7 xG), to 14 home goals against (13.9 xGA).
After three disappointing performances against inferior opposition, Arsenal scored a crucial three points in North West London derby. Arsenal is still the Premier League’s third best home team, just behind Manchester City and Liverpool.
Arsenal has managed a plus-4.6 xGD over their five previous games, despite only taking six points. They are still strong at the back, especially at home where they have the league’s third best xGA. However, they feature too many talented players up top to not be able to score as well as they did before the Chelsea match.
United have just come off the worst performance of any Premier League team this season. Liverpool dominated their rivals and scored four goals to beat David De Gea with just five shots. United only managed two shots and 28% possession during the match. They appeared to give up after Luis Diaz’s fifth-minute goal.
Although United has taken more points in their last five matches than Arsenal, they have only managed a minus-0.7 xGD during those matches. They have also lost just one of their five home fixtures, a 4-2 win over an then-capitulating Leeds team.
Both teams are fighting for a place in the top four. Arsenal should keep up their home play and win the three points.
22 goals total (19.7 xG), 11 goals at home, and twice in reverse fixture 17 goals total (12.2 xG) The Premier League’s top scorers will play key roles in their respective clubs’ massive games. Liverpool hosts Everton in Merseyside derby, while Spurs travel to West London for a match against a hot Brentford side.
Salah broke through his recent funk – he failed in eight consecutive contests across all competitions between Liverpool and Egypt – with only two goals in the defeat of United. His league-leading 0.79 goals per minute and his total of 93 shots this season lead the league. Liverpool has taken 34 points from the last 12 league matches, failing to beat Manchester City. The reverse fixture was won by the Reds 4-1 at Goodison Park. Everton has enjoyed most of their success this year. Salah scored twice in that fixture, which he will add to his Merseyside Derby resume.
son doesn’t get the advantage of taking his team’s penalties like Salah. He makes up for it in his clinical finishing, which is what he lacks in opportunities. This South Korean star is the best among the top 10 league goal scorers, converting goals at a staggering 31% clip. His shot accuracy of 69% is also impressive compared to his peers.
Son has not had to deal with similar difficulties in recent years, unlike Salah. In his 10 most recent games, Son scored eight goals in all competitions. He also scored a hat trick in the club’s last away match at Aston Villa. In the reverse fixture, Spurs’ only goal scorer was Son. The match also featured a Brentford goal. He has assumed primary scoring duties and Harry Kane is more of a facilitator. Son should contribute to Spurs’ three points this weekend after failing to do much in their embarrassing defeat to Brighton.
8-2-6 at-aside record (1.63 points per match), 15 away goals (14.3 xG), to 12 away goals for (23.4 xGA), 4-6-6 at-home record (1.13 point per game), 15 home games (17.0 xG), to 20 home goals for (22.3 xGA),
Although it seemed unlikely that Burnley would get the famous “new manager boost”, they have managed to win four points in two games since Dyche’sacked. After a 1-1 draw against West Ham, they won 2-0 at home against Southampton. Now they welcome Wolves to Turf Moor.
Burnley was known for their gritty style of football. They often frustrated the Premier League’s most powerful sides while grabbing results. The team has been able to replicate this feat under Mike Jackson as interim manager. This match will be a major test. Burnley is just one point behind Everton, though the Toffees still have a game in their hands. They will almost certainly bet on the 17th-place team to drop points at Anfield.
Wolves, for their part, have been the Premier League’s most difficult away side, managing the fifth-highest goal differential and fourth-most points per match. They have been fortunate in that their away record of minus-9.1xGD is the sixth worst. They play a very tight style of football. They concede the third-fewest away goals and score the third-fewest. Burnley will not mind this combination.
The match will be a snoozefest with Burnley trying to draw level with Everton before the Toffees’ huge game.
3-4-9 at-aside record (0.81 points per match), 13 away goals (12.9 xG), to 29 away goals against (23.2 xGA), 3-3-10 at-home record (0.75 point per game), 12 home goal (15.1 xG), to 31 home goals against (32.6 xGA).
Norwich are almost certain to be back in the Championship after dominating the competition in 2020-21, following a 20th place finish in the Premier League. It doesn’t really matter who the former manager is, Dean Smith or Dean Smith, this Canary team simply isn’t made for first-tier football.
This club has changed its identity slightly from one that was a goal-scoring machine – it scored 93 goals in order to be promoted in 2019, but became a more defensive-minded team, which shut down its rivals after being relegated in 2020. The problem is that Norwich don’t possess the same quality as England’s top teams. Both have failed to score (22 goals are the lowest in the league) or stop their opponents scoring (66 against are the second-most). There is no hope for a happy end this season, unlike Burnley.
Newcastle, on the other hand, are a shining example of what can happen when new club owners invest money in a team. Since January’s transfer window closed, they have taken 25 points in 12 league matches. The only blips were 1-0 away defeats to Chelsea and Everton, and a sloppy shellacking by Spurs.
Premier League Matchday 34 Parlay Picks
Only two of Newcastle’s 15 league matches have triggered the Over 3.5. They are still able to achieve results, despite not looking particularly dangerous. This is due to the unrelenting defense of Fabian Schar (January transfer) and Dan Burn (maintenance). Newcastle should keep climbing up the table to end Norwich’s season.
Our goal is to target a few of our top picks as well as two of our winners. We’re going with Crystal Palace against Leeds on Monday. Palace at home is a solid bet. If four of five legs fail after the Liverpool match, you can cash out.
Manchester City (+900) + Newcastle (+115), + Leicester (+185), + Spurs (+-115) + Liverpool (+-525) and Crystal Palace (+105). = +3006 (via (1xbet.))
Here’s our :
