Photo by Luca Amedeo Bizzarri/LiveMedia/NurPhoto via AFP.
This is the penultimate Matchday in the Serie A season. The title is still up for grabs. For our picks for Serie A Matchday 37, read on.
wins by Inter Milan and A.C. Milan Matchday 36 have kept alive the race for Scudetto with two games remaining. This week, Milan will face a much more difficult test when they host Atalanta.
The race to avoid relegation from Serie B is at its final stages. None of the six bottom teams are safe or officially relegated. Salernitana’s victory over Venezia and their draw against Cagliari last Sunday put them in 17th place. Genoa’s dramatic win last Friday was crucial in their quest to stay up.
These are my top Serie A Matchday37 betting picks (odds via BetMGM and [(1xbet]); pick confidence is based upon a 1-to-5 star scale.
Top Serie A Matchday 37 Picks
Serie A Matchday 37 Predictions
Milan to win and both teams to score (+190)
Milan will host Atalanta on Sunday, which could further dampen Inter’s hopes. As they play directly after Cagliari, a win here could put pressure on Inter.
Milan’s win in the comeback derby against Inter on February 5th was the catalyst that led to their rise to the top of this table. They have been the most consistent team in the league ever since. They have not lost in that time period and have collected the most points. In addition to being undefeated, they have also conceded the least goals and had the highest expected goals against. Their 8.39 xGA is seven points better than second-place Juventus.
Although Atalanta is 12th in points for that period, they can still score goals. They rank fifth in goals over that period and their xG is the third. This outperforms their actual goal output by four goals. Their six league losses since February 6th are sixth in that period. After a disappointing season,
Atlanta are looking to rebuild their team in the summer transfer window. La Dea will score in this match, although Milan’s hungry side will win.
Salernitana (+105)
Up to -1000 to be relegated early in the season. They were almost expelled from Serie A by the bylaws concerning their ownership. The run that Salernitana have been on to even give them a chance to stay up is nothing short of extraordinary. Matchday 37 will be a great opportunity to support them when they travel to Tuscany to take on Empoli.
EMPOLI’s season has been a story of two halves. The second half has been terrible. Their 10 collected points rank second in Serie A, with them winning just one of 17 games in 2022. This compares to their form in 2021 when they won eight games and had the ninth-highest number of points in Serie A. Only Venezia has fewer points in the same stretch. Empoli is last in xG home in 2022. They are only in Serie A because of their first half, and not their second.
SAlernitana has collected 22 points in 2022. This puts them 12th during that period. They don’t have the most impressive stats, but they are undefeated in six of their last six games and have the fifth best xGA. They can clearly hang with teams of similar skill levels.
I am fully invested in this amazing run by I Granata. They will win a crucial three point victory against Empoli on Saturday.
Over 3.5 goals (+176)
. We love a good Serie A over, and have found a line that allows us to score goals on Matchday 37. Udinese is the top goal-scoring team in Italy since April 1. They are top of goals for and 2nd in xG since then. In an extended timeframe, they also rank first in goals for and 2nd in xG at Home since February. Their xGA rank is 16th since April 1.
Spezia is now in the thick relegation race, having lost four straight. This will give them motivation to keep pushing forward and improve their 17th-ranked offense via xG since April 1. They also rank 17th in xGA, one spot below I Friulani.
Fourteen of Udinese’s eight games have been over this number and four of Spezia’s seven games have been Over 3.5 goals. This price seems high for two teams who have been in high-scoring matches recently, with an implied probability of 36.2 per cent at [1xbet]
These are our picks for Serie:
Serie A Matchday 37 Quick Picks
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Serie Matchday 37 made on 5/11/2022, at 2:14 p.m. ET
Serie A Matchday 37 picks made on 5/11/2022 at 2:14 p.m. ET
